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Intrinsic Bubbles And Fat Tails In Stock Prices: A Note

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Author Info
BIDARKOTA, PRASAD V.
DUPOYET, BRICE V.

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Abstract

We study the constant discount rate present value model for stock pricing in a stochastic setting where the exogenous dividend stream is modeled as a random walk with innovations drawn from the family of stable distributions. We derive an exact analytical solution for the fundamental stock price. We evaluate the ability of the model fundamentals and the dividends-driven intrinsic bubbles to explain the observed variation in annual U.S. stock prices. We compare results obtained in this setting with those from the traditional model where all stochastic processes are driven by Gaussian shocks.

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File URL: http://journals.cambridge.org/abstract_S1365100507060178
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Macroeconomic Dynamics.

Volume (Year): 11 (2007)
Issue (Month): 03 (March)
Pages: 405-422
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Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:11:y:2007:i:03:p:405-422_06

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This page was last updated on 2008-7-9.


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