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The Dynamics of the Forward Interest Rate Curve: A Formulation with State Variables

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Author Info
de Jong, Frank
Santa-Clara, Pedro
Abstract

The objective of this paper is twofold. First, the paper develops a class of models of the term structure of interest rates, in the Heath, Jarrow, and Morton (1992) framework, with dynamics characterized by the evolution of a small set of state variables. Second, the paper exploits this characterization of the dynamics of the term structure in an estimation exercise that makes use of both the time series and cross-section of bond prices. In this way, our class of models bridges the gap between traditional models, such as Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross (1985) and Vasicek (1977), that emphasize the dynamics of interest rates and the models of Heath, Jarrow, and Morton (1992) that stress fitting the cross-section of bond prices.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

Volume (Year): 34 (1999)
Issue (Month): 01 (March)
Pages: 131-157
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:34:y:1999:i:01:p:131-157_00

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  1. Francis X. Diebold & Canlin Li, 2002. "Forecasting the Term Structure of Government Bond Yields," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 02-34, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Luca Benati, . "Affine term structure models for the foreign exchange risk premium," Bank of England working papers 291, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  3. Gonzalo Cortazar & Eduardo S. Schwartz & Lorenzo F. Naranjo, 2007. "Term-structure estimation in markets with infrequent trading," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(4), pages 353-369. [Downloadable!]
  4. Jury Falini, 2009. "Pricing caps with HJM models: the benefits of humped volatility," Department of Economics University of Siena 563, Department of Economics, University of Siena. [Downloadable!]
  5. Anders B. Trolle & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2006. "Unspanned Stochastic Volatility and the Pricing of Commodity Derivatives," NBER Working Papers 12744, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Francis X. Diebold, 2004. "The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle," CFS Working Paper Series 2004/11, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Carl Chiarella & Oh-Kang Kwon, 2000. "A Complete Stochastic Volatility Model in the HJM Framework," Research Paper Series 43, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
  8. Andrew Jeffrey & Linton, Oliver Linton & Thong Nguyen & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2001. "Nonparametric Estimation of a Multifactor Heath-Jarrow-Morton Model: An Integrated Approach," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1311, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  9. Power, Gabriel J. & Turvey, Calum G., 2008. "On Term Structure Models of Commodity Futures Prices and the Kaldor-Working Hypothesis," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37608, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. [Downloadable!]
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