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Statistical Analysis of Risk Surrogates for Nyse Stocks

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  • Francis, Jack Clark

Abstract

Since the beta systematic risk coefficient and the standard deviation are both important statistics in the received capital market theory [22] and the received option theory [1], considerabe effort has been expended on obtaining empirical estimates of these statistics [30]. The ordinary least squares (OLS) technique is typically utilized to estimate beta as the regression coefficient of a simple linear regression. However, the OLS betas for common stocks were found to be disconcertingly unstable over time [5, 6, 13, 15, 25]. But, whether the OLS beta or an adjusted beta were used, the regression statistics could still only explain less than half of the variability of most New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stocks' returns (more specifically, R2

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  • Francis, Jack Clark, 1979. "Statistical Analysis of Risk Surrogates for Nyse Stocks," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(5), pages 981-997, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:14:y:1979:i:05:p:981-997_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Chris Tofallis, 2011. "Investment Volatility: A Critique of Standard Beta Estimation and a Simple Way Forward," Papers 1109.4422, arXiv.org.
    2. Sebastien Valeyre & Sofiane Aboura & Denis Grebenkov, 2019. "The Reactive Beta Model," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 42(1), pages 71-113, March.
    3. Tofallis, Chris, 2008. "Investment volatility: A critique of standard beta estimation and a simple way forward," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 187(3), pages 1358-1367, June.
    4. James Laird-Smith & Kevin Meyer & Kanshukan Rajaratnam, 2016. "A study of total beta specification through symmetric regression: the case of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 114-125, June.
    5. Gangemi, Michael & Brooks, Robert & Faff, Robert, 1999. "Mean reversion and the forecasting of country betas: a note," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 231-245.
    6. Houston, Jack E. & Khonde, Mavuangi, 1990. "Opportunities and Pitfalls of International Futures Markets Trading by Developing Countries: The Case of Zaire Coffee Exports," 1990 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Vancouver, Canada 270724, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

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