IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cup/intorg/v73y2019i01p225-248_00.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence

Author

Listed:
  • BartuseviÄ ius, Henrikas
  • Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede

Abstract

We present a two-stage approach to civil conflict analysis. Unlike conventional approaches that focus only on armed conflict and treat all other cases as “at peace,†we first distinguish cases with and without contested incompatibilities (Stage 1) and then whether or not contested incompatibilities escalate to armed conflict (Stage 2). This allows us to analyze factors that relate to conflict origination (onset of incompatibilities) and factors that predict conflict militarization (onset of armed violence). Using new data on incompatibilities and armed conflict, we replicate and extend three prior studies of violent civil conflict, reformulated as a two-stage process, considering different estimation procedures and potential selection problems. We find that the group-based horizontal political inequalities highlighted in research on violent civil conflict clearly relate to conflict origination but have no clear association with militarization, whereas other features emphasized as shaping the risk of civil war, such as refugee flows and soft state power, predict militarization but not incompatibilities. A two-stage approach to conflict analysis can help advance theories of civil conflict, assess alternative mechanisms through which explanatory variables are thought to influence conflict, and guide new data-collection efforts.

Suggested Citation

  • BartuseviÄ ius, Henrikas & Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede, 2019. "A Two-Stage Approach to Civil Conflict: Contested Incompatibilities and Armed Violence," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 73(1), pages 225-248, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:intorg:v:73:y:2019:i:01:p:225-248_00
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0020818318000425/type/journal_article
    File Function: link to article abstract page
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Solveig Hillesund, 2023. "Choosing tactics: Horizontal inequalities and the risk of violent and nonviolent conflict," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 60(6), pages 906-920, November.
    2. Escallón, Jose Michael Villarreal, 2021. "The historical relationship between agrarian reforms and internal armed conflicts: Relevant factors for the Colombian post-conflict scenario," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    3. Solveig Hillesund, 2022. "To fight or demonstrate? Micro foundations of inequality and conflict," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 39(2), pages 166-190, March.
    4. Radatz, Laura & Baten, Joerg, 2023. "Measuring Multidimensional Inequality and Conflict in Africa and in a Global Comparison," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277637, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    5. Tobias Ide & Miguel Rodriguez Lopez & Christiane Fröhlich & Jürgen Scheffran, 2021. "Pathways to water conflict during drought in the MENA region," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 58(3), pages 568-582, May.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cup:intorg:v:73:y:2019:i:01:p:225-248_00. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kirk Stebbing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cambridge.org/ino .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.