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Conditions For The Propagation Of Memory Parameter From Durations To Counts And Realized Volatility

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  • Deo, Rohit
  • Hurvich, Clifford M.
  • Soulier, Philippe
  • Wang, Yi

Abstract

We establish sufficient conditions on durations that are stationary with finite variance and memory parameter $d \in [0,{\textstyle{1 \over 2}})$ to ensure that the corresponding counting process N(t) satisfies Var N(t) ~ Ct2d+1 (C > 0) as t → ∞, with the same memory parameter $d \in [0,{\textstyle{1 \over 2}})$ that was assumed for the durations. Thus, these conditions ensure that the memory parameter in durations propagates to the same memory parameter in the counts. We then show that any autoregressive conditional duration ACD(1,1) model with a sufficient number of finite moments yields short memory in counts, whereas any long memory stochastic duration model with d > 0 and all finite moments yields long memory in counts, with the same d. Finally, we provide some results about the propagation of long memory to the empirically relevant case of realized variance estimates affected by market microstructure noise contamination.

Suggested Citation

  • Deo, Rohit & Hurvich, Clifford M. & Soulier, Philippe & Wang, Yi, 2009. "Conditions For The Propagation Of Memory Parameter From Durations To Counts And Realized Volatility," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(3), pages 764-792, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:25:y:2009:i:03:p:764-792_09
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Aldrich, Eric M. & Heckenbach, Indra & Laughlin, Gregory, 2016. "A compound duration model for high-frequency asset returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 105-128.
    2. Pierre Perron & Eduardo Zorita & Wen Cao & Clifford Hurvich & Philippe Soulier, 2017. "Drift in Transaction-Level Asset Price Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(5), pages 769-790, September.
    3. Mawuli Segnon & Manuel Stapper, 2019. "Long Memory Conditional Heteroscedasticity in Count Data," CQE Working Papers 8219, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    4. Filip Žikeš & Jozef Baruník & Nikhil Shenai, 2017. "Modeling and forecasting persistent financial durations," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(10), pages 1081-1110, November.
    5. Lavancier, Frédéric & Philippe, Anne & Surgailis, Donatas, 2010. "A two-sample test for comparison of long memory parameters," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(9), pages 2118-2136, October.
    6. Jan Beran & Yuanhua Feng & Sucharita Ghosh, 2015. "Modelling long-range dependence and trends in duration series: an approach based on EFARIMA and ESEMIFAR models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 431-451, May.
    7. Meng-Chen Hsieh & Clifford Hurvich & Philippe Soulier, 2022. "Long-Horizon Return Predictability from Realized Volatility in Pure-Jump Point Processes," Papers 2202.00793, arXiv.org.
    8. Zhang, Yichen & Hurvich, Clifford M., 2022. "Estimation of α, β and portfolio weights in a pure-jump model with long memory in volatility," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 972-994.
    9. A E Clements & A S Hurn & K A Lindsay & V Volkov, 2023. "Estimating a Non-parametric Memory Kernel for Mutually Exciting Point Processes," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1759-1790.

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