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Estimación de la probabilidad de participar en el Carnaval de Negros y Blancos de Pasto, Colombia mediante modelos de elección discreta binaria: Logit y Probit

Author

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  • Villota, Mario Eduardo Hidalgo

    (Universidad de Nariño)

Abstract

El Carnaval de Negros y Blancos que se realiza en la ciudad de Pasto, Colombia, fue declarado por la UNESCO como Patrimonio Cultural Inmaterial de la Humanidad en 2009. El objetivo de este artículo es estimar la probabilidad de que un individuo (residente local, visitante nacional o extranjero) pueda participar o no como espectador cultural en el Carnaval; para ello se utilizó modelos logit y probit, cuyos resultados permiten concluir que la participación depende en forma inversa de la edad; y de manera directa, del nivel educativo y de la renta personal de los individuos. Del mismo modo, estos modelos predicen una alta probabilidad de participación de 96,5% y 97,0%, respectivamente.

Suggested Citation

  • Villota, Mario Eduardo Hidalgo, 2018. "Estimación de la probabilidad de participar en el Carnaval de Negros y Blancos de Pasto, Colombia mediante modelos de elección discreta binaria: Logit y Probit," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, vol. 19(2), pages 161-181, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000520:018738
    DOI: 10.22267/rtend.181902.102
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Luis F. Aguado & Luis Palma & Noemí Pulido Pavón, 2017. "50 anos de economía de la cultura. Explorando sus raíces en la historia del pensamiento económico," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 36(70), pages 197-225, January.
    2. Aguado Quintero, Luis Fernando & Palma Martos, Luis, 2012. "Una interpretación metodológica sobre la incorporación de los bienes y servicios culturales al análisis económico," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Carnaval de Negros y Blancos de Pasto; modelos logit y probit; economía de la cultura y bienes culturales;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • H41 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Public Goods
    • Z10 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - General

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