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Incidencia multidimensional de la oferta criminal de Colombia desde un enfoque de ecuaciones simultáneas

Author

Listed:
  • Hector Daniel Martínez-Duarte
  • Angel David Ramírez-Romero
  • Eder Alexander Botello-Sánchez

Abstract

Resumen: El crimen ha sido explicado a partir de distintos enfoques y disciplinas. Esta investigación se traza, desde un enfoque económico, la determinación del grado de incidencia de los factores sociodemográficos, económicos, institucionales y geográficos en la oferta criminal de Colombia y sus departamentos durante el periodo 2010 a 2017; para ello, se hace uso del método cuantitativo de ecuaciones simultáneas, y bajo la estimación de Máxima Verosimilitud con Información Completa, se pudieron obtener como principales hallazgos: 1) el crimen presenta relaciones significativas con las variables sociodemográficas, económicas, institucionales y geográficas. 2) El número de agentes policiales de un departamento administrativo depende positivamente del número de crímenes reportados y el tamaño del territorio. Finalmente, se puede concluir que la intervención estatal direccionada a la mitigación del crimen debe considerar las relaciones interdisciplinarias que interactúan en torno al fenómeno para que las políticas públicas sean eficientes.

Suggested Citation

  • Hector Daniel Martínez-Duarte & Angel David Ramírez-Romero & Eder Alexander Botello-Sánchez, 2021. "Incidencia multidimensional de la oferta criminal de Colombia desde un enfoque de ecuaciones simultáneas," Revista Sociedad y Economía, Universidad del Valle, CIDSE, issue 42, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000172:019627
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ecuaciones simultáneas; territorio; crimen; seguridad del Estado;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models; Threshold Regression Models
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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