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El impacto de China sobre América Latina en el mercado de Estados Unidos, un análisis de causalidad

Author

Listed:
  • Cruz G., José Luis de la
  • Marín H., Carlos

Abstract

Resumen: La irrupción de China en el comercio internacional ha intensificado la competencia a nivel global poniendo en riesgo el posicionamiento que las economías latinoamericanas han logrado en el mercado de sus principales socios comerciales y en consecuencia su anhelo de desarrollo a través de la constitución de un motor exportador. Por tal motivo, el presente estudio analiza si existe algún efecto de las exportaciones chinas sobre el intercambio que realizan los principales países de América Latina con los Estados Unidos. Inicialmente se estudian los índices de comercio intraindustrial para posteriormente construir vectores autorregresivos y de corrección de error a partir de los cuales determinar si hay efectos negativos que senalen algún desplazamiento de China sobre las economías en mención. Los resultados sugieren que México es la nación más perjudicada por la competencia China, mientras que las demás naciones se posicionan como proveedores de materias primas

Suggested Citation

  • Cruz G., José Luis de la & Marín H., Carlos, 2011. "El impacto de China sobre América Latina en el mercado de Estados Unidos, un análisis de causalidad," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 18, pages 97-126, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000165:014818
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    File URL: https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/coyuntura/article/view/13247/11873
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Comercio internacional; causalidad; comercio intraindustrial e interindustrial.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • O51 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - U.S.; Canada
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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