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Una estimación del impacto del componente comercial del acuerdo de Asociación entre Colombia y la Unión Europea, sobre la Economía Colombiana

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  • Arguello C., Ricardo

Abstract

Resumen: en este estudio se evalúan los efectos económicos que un acuerdo comercial entre la Comunidad Andina y la Unión Europea tendría sobre Colombia.La evaluación se hace mediante un modelo de equilibrio general computable multipaís y contempla dos conjuntos de escenarios. En el primero se asume una negociación bloque a bloque del acuerdo. En el segundo, se asume que la negociación es individual y que Bolivia y Ecuador no liberalizan su comercio con la Unión Europea. Los resultados indican que en caso de una completa liberalización del comercio de mercancías, Colombia obtendría ganancias de bienestar. También, muestran que dichas ganancias serían mayores si Ecuador no negocia. No obstante, la liberalización del comercio de bienes agrícolas, especialmente verduras y frutas, es crítica para los resultados

Suggested Citation

  • Arguello C., Ricardo, 2008. "Una estimación del impacto del componente comercial del acuerdo de Asociación entre Colombia y la Unión Europea, sobre la Economía Colombiana," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000165:007030
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    File URL: http://aprendeenlinea.udea.edu.co/revistas/index.php/coyuntura/article/view/2348/1919
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    comercio internacional; acuerdos comerciales; Colombia; Unión Europea; equilibrio general computable;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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