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¿Es inestable la demanda por dinero en Colombia?

Author

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  • Alberto Carrasquilla

Abstract

En este trabajo se estudia la estabilidad de la función de demanda por dinero distinguiendo entre dos acepciones del concepto. Una ligada a la persistencia de los efectos de un choque exógeno (tipo I) y otra relacionada con su magnitud (tipo II).La relevancia de esta distinción fue estudiada mediante el uso de diversas herramientas econométricas (Prueba de Chow, residuos recursivos, filtros de Kalman, técnicas de cointegración y de corrección de errores). Sugerimos que en Colombia entre 1975 y 1988 hubo estabilidad tipo I, a pesar de la evidencia a favor de inestabilidad tipo II. Planteamos que en los modelos convencionales, la falta de una restricción de largo plazo es asimilable a la exclusión de una variable importante.Encontramos, en este sentido, que la introducción de la noción de equilibrio estable a largo plazo mejora las propiedades estadísticas de las simulaciones dentro y fuera de la muestra.

Suggested Citation

  • Alberto Carrasquilla, 1990. "¿Es inestable la demanda por dinero en Colombia?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 9(17), pages 20-37, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:007604
    DOI: 10.32468/Espe.1702
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sven Wunder, 1992. "La enfermedad holandesa y el caso colombiano," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, vol. 22(1), pages 167-190, April.
    2. Josefá Ramoni Perazzi & Giampaolo Orlandoni Merli, 2000. "Money demand in Venezuela: A cointegration analysis (1968-1996)," Economía, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Sociales (IIES). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales. Universidad de Los Andes. Mérida, Venezuela, vol. 25(16), pages 91-109, January-D.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    DEMANDA MONETARIA; DINERO;

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