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Efecto de la actividad económica sobre la violencia homicida: Nueva evidencia a partir de datos de panel en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Esteban Carranza Romero
  • Carlos Giovanni González Espitia
  • Gipsy Eliana Bocanegra Ochoa

Abstract

El objetivo de este artículo es analizar el efecto de la actividad económica sobre la variación de los homicidios por departamentos en Colombia y su correlación con otros tipos de delito. Para este fin, se realiza la estimación de un modelo de datos de panel con variables instrumentales, y se muestra que un aumento de la actividad económica en promedio reduce los homicidios. Adicionalmente, los homicidios están correlacionados negativamente con los crímenes contra la propiedad. Esta evidencia sugiere que los criminales sostienen su actividad delictiva a lo largo del ciclo económico sustituyendo distintos tipos de crimen **** The objective of this paper is to analyze the effect of economic activity on the variation of homicides by regions in Colombia and its correlation with other types of crime. To this end, a panel data model is estimated with instrumental variables, showing that an increase in economic activity reduces the number of homicides. Moreover, the number of homicides is negatively correlated with crimes against property. This evidence suggests that criminals sustain their illegal activity throughout the economic cycle substituting across different types of crime.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Esteban Carranza Romero & Carlos Giovanni González Espitia & Gipsy Eliana Bocanegra Ochoa, 2019. "Efecto de la actividad económica sobre la violencia homicida: Nueva evidencia a partir de datos de panel en Colombia," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 39(79), pages 355-388, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:017755
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    File URL: https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/ceconomia/article/view/43049/73624
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    homicidios; actividad económica; datos de panel; variables instrumentales; murders; economic activity; data panel; instrumental variables;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C36 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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