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Fragilidad financiera y tasa de cambio

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Carlos Castro Fernández

Abstract

En las siguientes páginas se presenta un modelo elaborado a partir del propuesto por Foley (2003), en el que se introducen la tasa de cambio y la deuda denominada en moneda extranjera para examinar la influencia de estas dos variables sobre la fragilidad financiera, considerando la hipótesis de inestabilidad financiera de Minsky (1982, 1987) con tipo de cambio flexible. Las posiciones financieras de las firmas (cubierta, especulativa y Ponzi) dependen de la tasa de cambio y de la tasa de interés. El modelo prueba que la depreciación nominal tiene efectos realesy puede causar crisis financieras y económicas, porque encarece el crédito y los bienes de capital, lo que produce una caída en las tasas de ganancia e inversión.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Carlos Castro Fernández, 2011. "Fragilidad financiera y tasa de cambio," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:009218
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    crisis financiera; modelos macroeconómicos post-keynesianos; tasa de cambio; endeudamiento privado externo.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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