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Modelos ARCH, GARCH y EGARCH: aplicaciones a series financieras

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Author Info
Marta Casas Monsegny ()
Edilberto Cepeda ()
Abstract

En este artículo se incluye una descripción de los modelos ARCH, GARCH y EGARCH, y de los procesos de estimación de sus parámetros usando máxima verosimilitud. Se propone un modelo alternativo para el análisis de series financieras y se estudian las series de precios y de retornos de las acciones de Gillette. La selección de modelos usando los criterios AIC y BIC permite concluir que, de los modelos considerados el GARCH(1,2) es el que mejor explica el comportamiento de los precios de las acciones y el EGARCH(2,1) es el que mejor explica la serie de los retornos.

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File URL: http://www.fce.unal.edu.co/cuadernos/48/10-Modelos.pdf
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Article provided by UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE COLOMBIA - RCE in its journal Revista Cuadernos de Economía.

Volume (Year): (2008)
Issue (Month): ()
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Handle: RePEc:col:000093:004845

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This page was last updated on 2008-8-20.


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