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¿Los sospechosos de siempre? Efectos de la migración irregular en la criminalidad

Author

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  • Franco Mora , Juan Sebastián

Abstract

Investigaciones previas señalan que los flujos de migración irregular pueden empeorar la percepción de seguridad de la ciudadanía. Sin embargo, se desconoce si este fenómeno efectivamente tiene algún efecto sobre los niveles reales de criminalidad. En este documento se analiza el efecto de un choque de migrantes irregulares sobre algunos tipos comunes de delitos en el país receptor. Para esto, se construye una base de datos panel para los municipios de Colombia a partir de estadísticas de criminalidad y de migración irregular de venezolanos entre 2016 y 2018. Para identificar el efecto causal se utilizan variables instrumentales y se encuentra que la migración irregular produjo un aumento pequeño de las tasas de hurto a personas y hurto a comercio en el corto plazo y ningún efecto significativo sobre los delitos violentos. Estos resultados son robustos a diferentes tipos de estimación.

Suggested Citation

  • Franco Mora , Juan Sebastián, 2021. "¿Los sospechosos de siempre? Efectos de la migración irregular en la criminalidad," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 89(2), pages 57-92, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000090:021108
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    política migratoria; Venezuela; Colombia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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