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Voting at National versus European Elections: An Individual Level Test of the Second Order Paradigm for the 2014 European Parliament Elections

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  • Hajo G. Boomgaarden

    (Department of Methods in the Social Sciences, University of Vienna, Austria)

  • David Johann

    (Department of Methods in the Social Sciences, University of Vienna, Austria)

  • Sylvia Kritzinger

    (Department of Methods in the Social Sciences, University of Vienna, Austria)

Abstract

The second-order paradigm is the dominant framework for research on electoral behavior in European Parliament (EP) elections. In this study, we assess to what degree voting patterns in the 2014 EP election were characterized by second-orderness. While most studies of second-order voting behavior rely on macro-level accounts or suffer from potentially conflated vote measures, this study relies on panel data from the 2013 national and the 2014 EP election in Austria. We study change patterns in electoral behavior and, more importantly, assess the motives behind differences in vote choices between first- and second-order elections. Overall, the findings point towards a persisting relevance of the second-order framework for explaining voting in the 2014 EP election.

Suggested Citation

  • Hajo G. Boomgaarden & David Johann & Sylvia Kritzinger, 2016. "Voting at National versus European Elections: An Individual Level Test of the Second Order Paradigm for the 2014 European Parliament Elections," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 4(1), pages 130-144.
  • Handle: RePEc:cog:poango:v:4:y:2016:i:1:p:130-144
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Peter Van Aelst & Jonas Lefevere, 2012. "Has Europe got anything to do with the European elections? A study on split-ticket voting in the Belgian regional and European elections of 2009," European Union Politics, , vol. 13(1), pages 3-25, March.
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    6. Michael J. Hanmer & Kerem Ozan Kalkan, 2013. "Behind the Curve: Clarifying the Best Approach to Calculating Predicted Probabilities and Marginal Effects from Limited Dependent Variable Models," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 57(1), pages 263-277, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dorian Alt & Erik Brandes & David Nonhoff, 2023. "First Order for some. How Different Forms of Politicization Motivated Voters in the 2019 European Parliamentary Election," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 362-378, March.

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