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Inflation Uncertainty and the Cost of Inflation

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Author Info
Pierre Ouellette
Alain Paquet

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Abstract

In this paper, the authors develop a measure of the cost of inflation uncertainty where a risk premium can be interpreted as the amount of real consumption that a representative agent is willing to forgo in order to be guaranteed a perfectly anticipated path of inflation. This premium can be calculated based on the estimation of a utility function that takes into account portfolio adjustment costs with respect to money balances and bonds, subject to a budget constraint that includes the after-tax returns on savings. With Canadian and U.S. data, it is shown that economic agents' preferences are such that the uncertainty of unexpected inflation was not big enough to induce a large premium.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Canadian Economics Association in its journal Canadian Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 32 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 195-214
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Handle: RePEc:cje:issued:v:32:y:1999:i:1:p:195-214

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

This item is featured on the following reading lists:

  1. Canadian Macro Study Group
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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