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Looking Forward Towards the ERM II Central Parity: The Case of Poland

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Author Info

  • Jakub Borowski
  • Anna Czogala
  • Adam Czyzewski

Abstract

This paper addresses issues related to the choice of the central parity for Poland’s prospective ERM II membership. It discusses the relevance of different concepts of equilibrium exchange rate in the determination of the central parity and, on the basis of recent studies, it provides a tentative assessment of the equilibrium exchange rate of the Polish zloty. Risks resulting from a potential exchange rate misalignment are also analysed. Finally, in the context of the choice of the central parity, the paper gives insights into developments in the Polish labour market and factors behind the persistently high unemployment rate.

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File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/IE/rev102/rev102a.htm
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by CEPII research center in its journal Economie Internationale.

Volume (Year): (2005)
Issue (Month): 102 ()
Pages: 9-31

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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2005-2ta

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Related research

Keywords: exchange rate; euro area; labor market; zloty; ERM II; Poland;

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Cited by:
  1. Jakub Borowski & Michal Brzoza- Brzezina, 2004. "Designing Poland’s Macroeconomic Strategy on the Way to the Euro Area," Macroeconomics 0404015, EconWPA.
  2. Jovanovic, Branimir, 2007. "Calculating the Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate of the Macedonian Denar," MPRA Paper 43161, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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