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Regional Trading Arrangements for Chile: do the Results Differ with a Dynamic Model?

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Author Info
Thomas F. Rutherford
David G. Tarr

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Abstract

Starting from our earlier multi-region trade model, we develop two new 24 sector small open economy (SOE) computable general equilibrium models (CGE) of Chile. One is comparative static and the other is dynamic. We evaluate the impact of Chile forming free trade agreements with either NAFTA or MERCOSUR. Our principal result is that the dynamic SOE model does not produce welfare estimates significantly different from the comparative static SOE model. Our second result is that, although the difference is small, it is possible for a fully dynamic model to produce welfare estimates for a preferential trade area that are welfare inferior than those from a comparative static model.

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File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/anglaisgraph/publications/economieinter/rev9495/rev9495k.htm
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Publisher Info
Article provided by CEPII research center in its journal Economie Internationale.

Volume (Year): (2003)
Issue (Month): 2Q-3Q ()
Pages: 261-281
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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2003-2q-3qk

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Related research
Keywords: Economic Integration; Trade Forecasting and Simulation; Computable General Equilibrium Models; Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models

Cited by:
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  1. Perry, Miles, 2008. "Food Production Vs. Biomass Export Vs. Land-Use Change: A Cge Analysis For Argentina," MPRA Paper 13442, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Feb 2009. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jensen, Jesper & Tarr, David, 2007. "The impact of Kazakhstan accession to the World Trade Organization : a quantitative assessment," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4142, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jensen, Jesper & Rutherford, Thomas & Tarr, David, 2004. "The impact of liberalizing barriers to foreign direct investment in services - the case of Russian accession to the World Trade Organization," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3391, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Glenn W. Harrison & Thomas F. Rutherford & David G. Tarr & Angelo Gurgel, 2004. "Trade Policy and Poverty Reduction in Brazil," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 276, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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