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Dette publique et investissements prives : le cas de la Turquie

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Author Info

  • Burak Gürbüz
  • Marc Raffinot

Abstract

L'effet de la dette sur l'investissement prive est theoriquement indetermine. En effet, selon la theorie, le lien entre la dette et l'investissement prive peut aussi bien etre negatif (effet d'eviction) que positif (effet accelerateur sur la croissance economique et donc sur l'investissement prive). Cet article consiste a identifier la nature de ce lien dans le cas de la Turquie sur la periode 1963-2000. Il estime cette relation sur deux periodes : 1963-98 et 1988-2000, compte tenu du developpement d'un marche financier domestique qui a permis de remplacer en partie la dette publique exterieure par une dette interieure. Ces estimations donnent deux effets distincts : la dette externe a un effet positif sur les investissements prives, tandis que la dette interne exerce un effet d'eviction.

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File URL: http://www.cepii.fr/francgraph/publications/ecointern/rev86/rev86f.htm
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by CEPII research center in its journal Economie Internationale.

Volume (Year): (2001)
Issue (Month): 86 ()
Pages: 125-142

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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:2001-2tf

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Keywords: Turquie; dette; investissement;

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Cited by:
  1. Idlemouden, Khadija & Raffinot, Marc, 2005. "Le fardeau virtuel de la dette extérieure. Une revue de la littérature à l'aune de l'initiative « pays pauvres très endettés » (PPTE)," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/4089, Paris Dauphine University.

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