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Comment definir un taux de change d'equilibre pour les pays emergents ?

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Author Info

  • Virginie Coudert

Abstract

Il existe plusieurs methodes pour apprecier si un taux de change est a son "bon niveau". La parite de pouvoir d'achat (PPA), en niveau et en evolution, constitue une reference souvent utilisee. Mais elle n'est guere appropriee a l'etude des pays emergents, qui ont des niveaux de prix beaucoup plus faibles que les pays developpes. Il est souhaitable de corriger la norme de PPA par l'effet dit "Balassa", qui tient compte des differences de productivite entre les secteurs. Cet effet explique le plus faible niveau de prix dans les pays developpes et considere normale une certaine appreciation du taux de change reel au cours du processus de developpement.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by CEPII research center in its journal Economie Internationale.

Volume (Year): (1999)
Issue (Month): 77 ()
Pages: 45-66

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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepiei:1999-1tc

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Cited by:
  1. Nikolay Nenovsky & Kalina Dimitrova, 2002. "Dual Inflation Under the Currency Board: The Challenges of Bulgarian EU Accession," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 487, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  2. Ngongang, Elie, 2011. "Impact of Exchange Rate Policy on the Trade of Industrial Products in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1975 to 2007," Review of Applied Economics, Review of Applied Economics, vol. 7(1-2).
  3. Balázs Égert, & László Halpern & Ronald MacDonald, 2005. "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies: Taking Stock of the Issues," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp793, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  4. Égert, Balázs & Halpern, László, 2005. "Equilibrium exchange rates in Central and Eastern Europe: A meta-regression analysis," BOFIT Discussion Papers 4/2005, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  5. Égert, Balázs, 2004. "Assessing equilibrium exchange rates in CEE acceding countries: Can we have DEER with BEER without FEER? A critical survey of the literature," BOFIT Discussion Papers 1/2004, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  6. repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:106:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Babacar XSENE, 2005. "Impact du fardeau virtuel de la dette sur le taux de change réel d'équilibre des pays en développement," Macroeconomics 0501014, EconWPA.
  8. Sfia, Mohamed Daly, 2006. "Tunisia: Sources Of Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations," MPRA Paper 3129, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Frait, Jan & Komarek, Lubos & Meleck, Martin, 2006. "The Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in the Five Central European Countries," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 739, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
  10. Sène, Babacar, 2004. "Impact du fardeau virtuel de la dette sur le taux de change réel d’équilibre des pays en développement : un modèle théorique," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/6259, Paris Dauphine University.
  11. Nienke Oomes, 2005. "Maintaining Competitiveness Under Equilibrium Real Appreciation," IMF Working Papers 05/65, International Monetary Fund.
  12. Balazs Egert & Amina Lahrèche-Revil, 2003. "Estimating the Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate of Central and Eastern European Countries; The EMU Enlargement Perspective," Working Papers 2003-05, CEPII research center.
  13. Balázs Égert, 2013. "Dutch Disease in the Post-Soviet Countries of Central and South-West Asia: How Contagious is it?," EconomiX Working Papers 2013-10, University of Paris West - Nanterre la Défense, EconomiX.
  14. Burkart, O. & Coudert, V., 2000. "Leading Indicators of Currency Crises in Emerging Economies," Working papers 74, Banque de France.
  15. Michel Aglietta & Camille Baulant & Sandra Moatti, 2003. "Les PECO devant la tentation de l'euro," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 93, pages 11-36.
  16. Balázs �Gert & Rafañ Kierzenkowski & Rafañ Kierzenkowski & Rafañ Kierzenkowski, 2005. "Asymmetric Fluctuation Bands in the ERM and ERM II : Lessons and Challenges for New EU Member States of Central and Eastern Europe," Eastern European Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 43(1), pages 82-115, January.

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