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Steigende Wohnungsbaunachfrage stimuliert deutsches Bauvolumen in den nächsten Jahren

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  • Erich Gluch
  • Ludwig Dorffmeister

    ()

Abstract

Nach der Prognose des ifo Instituts wird die Bautätigkeit in Deutschland in den Jahren 2011 bis 2020 voraussichtlich nur moderat zunehmen. 2020 dürfte das Bauvolumen einen Umfang von rund 254 Mrd. Euro erreichen. Die erbrachten Bauleistungen werden dann um rund 10 Mrd. Euro über dem Wert des Jahres 2010 liegen. Für den betrachteten Zehnjahreszeitraum ergibt sich damit ein durchschnittliches jährliches Wachstum von lediglich knapp 1/2%. Hauptgrund für die vorhergesagte Ausweitung der Bauaktivitäten ist die Entwicklung im Wohnungsbau. In dieser Teilsparte dürfte sich das Bauvolumen in den nächsten zehn Jahren um durchschnittlich knapp 1% p.a. erhöhen. Die gewerblichen Bauausgaben dürften im Prognosezeitraum hoch bleiben, aber nicht wesentlich zunehmen.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 64 (2011)
Issue (Month): 07 (04)
Pages: 21-32

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:64:y:2011:i:07:p:21-32

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Keywords: Wohnungsbau Bauwirtschaft Baukonjunktur Prognose Deutschland;

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