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Griechenland: Deutliche Konjunkturabschwächung nach Olympiaboom

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  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze
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    Abstract

    Nach einem sehr dynamischen ersten Quartal und anschließender Schwächephase hat in Griechenland 2003 die Konjunktur kräftig an Schwung gewonnen. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt nahm nach vorläufigen Berechnungen um 4,2% zu. Die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt hat sich - bei stetig zunehmender Beschäftigung, aber infolge unverändert kräftiger Einwanderung wenig veränderter Arbeitslosenquote (9,3% im Jahresdurchschnitt) - weiter verbessert. Der Preisanstieg ließ etwas nach und lag bei etwa 3,4%. Dieses Jahr dürfte das BIP um 4¼% wachsen. Die Arbeitslosenquote wird im Jahresdurchschnitt auf 8½% sinken. Die Preiserhöhung wird 3¾ betragen. 2005 dürfte das BIP um 3% expandieren, die Arbeitslosenquote wird auf knapp 8¼% fallen, und die Konsumentenpreise werden um 3¾% steigen.

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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Schnelldienst/zs-sd-2004/ifosd_2004_9_4.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

    Volume (Year): 57 (2004)
    Issue (Month): 09 (05)
    Pages: 23-31

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    Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:57:y:2004:i:09:p:23-31

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    Keywords: Konjunktur; Wirtschaftswachstum; Wirtschaftspolitik; Entwicklung; Griechenland;

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