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Italien

Author

Listed:
  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze

Abstract

1994 wuchs das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP) um 2,2%, gleichzeitig erhöhte sich jedoch die Arbeitslosenquote um gut 1 Prozentpunkt auf 11,3%. Die Handelsbilanz hat sich 1994 nochmals verbessert (Exporte stiegen um 15,2%). Konsumentenpreise stiegen um durchschnittlich 4%. Obwohl die Wirtschaftspolitik zunehmend in ein unruhiges und schwer prognostizierbares Umfeld gerät, wird sie wohl weiterhin auf restriktive Fiskal- und Geldpolitik setzen. Es kann für 1995 mit einem Anstieg des realen BIP von fast 3% gerechnet werden. Während am Arbeitsmarkt eine leichte Besserung abzusehen ist, hat sich die Inflation erheblich beschleunigt. Im Verlauf des Jahres 1996 dürfte sich das Wirtschaftswachstum allmählich abschwächen (BIP:+2,5%). Die Arbeitslosenquote verringert sich nur wenig, und die Preisentwicklung bleibt deutlich aufwärts gerichtet.

Suggested Citation

  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze, 1995. "Italien," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 48(24), pages 41-51, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:48:y:1995:i:24:p:41-51
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