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ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2021: Deutsche Wirtschaft taumelt in die dritte Coronawelle

Author

Listed:
  • Timo Wollmershäuser
  • Marcell Göttert
  • Christian Grimme
  • Stefan Lautenbacher
  • Robert Lehmann
  • Sebastian Link
  • Sascha Möhrle
  • Ann-Christin Rathje
  • Magnus Reif
  • Pauliina Sandqvist
  • Radek Šauer
  • Marc Stöckli

Abstract

Im Herbst 2020 nahm das Infektionsgeschehen mit dem Coronavirus wieder spürbar an Fahrt auf und hat sich zuletzt erneut beschleunigt. Dadurch verschiebt sich die konjunkturelle Erholung, die ursprünglich für das Frühjahr 2021 erwartet wurde, zeitlich im Jahresverlauf nach hinten. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt dürfte in diesem Jahr um 3,7% zulegen und im kommenden Jahr um 3,2%. Im Vergleich zur ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2020 wurde damit die Wachstumsrate für das Jahr 2021 um 0,5 Prozentpunkte gesenkt und für das Jahr 2022 um 0,7 Prozentpunkte angehoben. Betrachtet zusammengefasste Wirtschaftsleistung der Jahre 2020 bis 2022, belaufen sich die Kosten der Coronakrise nach dieser Prognose auf 405 Mrd. Euro.

Suggested Citation

  • Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Sascha Möhrle & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Pauliina Sandqvist & Radek Šauer , 2021. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2021: Deutsche Wirtschaft taumelt in die dritte Coronawelle," ifo Schnelldienst Digital, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 2(09), pages 01-13, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdd:v:2:y:2021:i:09:p:01-13
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Klaus Wohlrabe, 2021. "Industries in Focus: Employment Activities," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(05), pages 87-88, May.
    2. Timo Wollmershäuser & Przemyslaw Brandt & Christian Grimme & Max Lay & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Manuel Menkhoff & Sascha Möhrle & Ann-Christin Rathje & Pauliina Sandqvist & Radek Šauer & Marc, 2021. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2021: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Spannungsfeld zwischen Öffnungen und Lieferengpässen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(Sonderaus), pages 01-52, June.
    3. Robert Lehmann & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2021. "On the Plausibility of Consumption Forecasts by Means of Input-Output Accounting," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(04), pages 54-56, April.
    4. Raffaela Seitz & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2021. "Industries in Focus: Travel Industry," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(04), pages 70-72, April.
    5. Kevin Kloiber & Manuel Menkhoff & Sascha Möhrle & Andreas Peichl, 2021. "Cities Hit Harder by the Economic Consequences of the Coronavirus Crisis," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(05), pages 53-58, May.
    6. Katrin Demmelhuber & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2021. "ifo Manager Survey: Company Conclusion after One Year of the Coronavirus Crisis," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 74(05), pages 76-81, May.
    7. Peters, Sally & Roggemann, Hanne & Müller, Stefanie, 2021. "iff-Überschuldungsreport 2021: Überschuldung in Deutschland," iff-Überschuldungsreport, Institut für Finanzdienstleistungen e.V. (iff), volume 127, number 2021.

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