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ifo Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2018/2019: Ostdeutsche Wirtschaftnimmt Tempo raus

Author

Listed:
  • Niels Gillmann
  • Jannik André Nauerth
  • Joachim Ragnitz
  • Michael Weber

Abstract

Die ostdeutsche Wirtschaft bleibt auf Wachstumskurs. Jedoch lähmten im ersten Quartal Streiks und die Grippewelle die Produktion. Zudem nahmen die weltwirtschaflichen Risiken wieder zu, wodurch die Unternehmen geplante Investitionen auf-schieben dürfen. Diese Effekte bremsen das Wachstum. Positive Impulse dürfen im Prognosezeitraum hingegen vor allem von den konsumnahen Dienstleistern ausgehen. Insgesamt wird die ostdeutsche Wirtschaf in den Jahren 2018 und 2019 voraussichtlich um jeweils 1,6 % expandieren, wobei die Flächenländer schwächer wachsen dürfen als Berlin. Im Freistaat Sachsen dürfen sich die Zuwachsraten auf jeweils 1,4 % belaufen.

Suggested Citation

  • Niels Gillmann & Jannik André Nauerth & Joachim Ragnitz & Michael Weber, 2018. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Ostdeutschland und Sachsen 2018/2019: Ostdeutsche Wirtschaftnimmt Tempo raus," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(04), pages 17-24, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:25:y:2018:i:04:p:17-24
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    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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