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Deutschlandprognose 2017/2018: Aufschwung gewinnt an Stärke und Breite

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

Der Aufschwung, in dem sich die deutsche Wirtschaft seit 2013 befindet, gewinnt an Stärke und Breite. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt dürfte um 1,8 % im laufenden Jahr steigen und um 2,0 % im kommenden Jahr. Wie schon in den vergangenen Jahren wird die konjunkturelle Entwicklung von der weiter lebhaften Konsumnachfrage der privaten Haushalte und der regen Bautätigkeit bestimmt. Einen zunehmenden Beitrag zum Aufschwung werden die Exporte leisten, die von den verbesserten Konjunkturaussichten im Euroraum und dem Rest der Welt profitieren. Deshalb dürften auch die bisher eher zur Schwäche tendierende Industrieproduktion und die ebenfalls enttäuschenden Unternehmensinvestitionen anziehen.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2017. "Deutschlandprognose 2017/2018: Aufschwung gewinnt an Stärke und Breite," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 24(04), pages 10-15, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:24:y:2017:i:04:p:10-15
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    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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