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Kräftiger Aufschwung dank günstigem Öl und schwachem Euro

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  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose

Abstract

Die deutsche Wirtschaft befindet sich in einem kräftigen Aufschwung. Sie wird stimuliert von unerwarteten expansiven Impulsen, insbesondere dem Verfall des Ölpreises und der starken Abwertung des Euro. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird in diesem Jahr voraussichtlich um 2,1% steigen. Dabei ist der Konsum die Stütze des Aufschwungs. Zudem gehen vom übrigen Euroraum wieder leicht positive Impulse aus, sodass auch der Außenhandel zur Expansion beiträgt. Im kommenden Jahr dürfte sich das Tempo nur wenig verlangsamen. Die Abwertung des Euro wird die Konjunktur dabei weiter beleben, während die positiven Effekte des gesunkenen Ölpreises auslaufen. Alles in allem erwarten die Institute einen Anstieg der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktion im Jahr 2016 um 1,8 %.

Suggested Citation

  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2015. "Kräftiger Aufschwung dank günstigem Öl und schwachem Euro," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(03), pages 29-32, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:22:y:2015:i:03:p:29-32
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    Cited by:

    1. Döhrn, Roland, 2015. "Prognosen für 2015 im Rückblick," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 66(4), pages 35-46.

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    JEL classification:

    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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