IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifodre/v16y2009i01p12-17.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Deutschlandprognose 2009 : in schwerer Rezession

Author

Listed:
  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

In Deutschland stehen die Konjunkturampeln im Jahr 2009 auf rot. Die deutsche Wirtschaft, die zuvor aufgrund ihrer außenwirtschaftlichen Ausrichtung in besonderem Maße von dem kräftigen weltwirtschaftlichen Aufschwung profitiert hat, gerät nun umgekehrt in besonderem Maße in den Abwärtssog, den die Finanzkrise weltweit ausgelöst hat. Im Jahresdurchschnitt 2009 wird das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt, dem Ursprungswert nach wie auch kalenderbereinigt, um 2,2% abnehmen. In Relation zum nominalen Bruttoinlandsprodukt ist der Finanzierungssaldo des Staates auf 1,4 % zu veranschlagen. Erst im Jahr 2010 ist mit dem allmählichen Abebben der Finanzkrise und der leichten Besserung des internationalen Umfelds eine konjunkturelle Stabilisierung zu erwarten.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2009. "Deutschlandprognose 2009 : in schwerer Rezession," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 16(01), pages 12-17, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:16:y:2009:i:01:p:12-17
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifodb_2009_1_12_17.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:16:y:2009:i:01:p:12-17. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.