Political pressures and exchange rate stability in emerging market economies
AbstractThis paper presents a political economy model of exchange rate policy. The theory is based on a common agency approach with rational expectations. Financial and exporter lobbies exert political pressures to influence the government’s choice of exchange rate policy, before shocks to the economy are realized. The model shows that political pressures affect exchange rate policy and create an over-commitment to exchange rate stability. This helps to rationalize the empirical evidence on fear of large currency swings that characterizes exchange rate policy of many emerging market economies. Moreover, the model suggests that the effects of political pressures on the exchange rate are lower if the quality of institutions is higher. Empirical evidence for a large sample of emerging market economies is consistent with these findings.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Universidad del CEMA in its journal Journal of Applied Economics.
Volume (Year): XI (2008)
Issue (Month): (May)
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exporters and financial lobbies; exchange rate stability;
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- F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
- D7 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making
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- Philipp Harms & Mathias Hoffmann, 2011.
"Deciding to Peg the Exchange Rate in Developing Countries: The Role of Private-Sector Debt,"
Open Economies Review,
Springer, vol. 22(5), pages 825-846, November.
- Harms, Philipp & Hoffmann, Mathias, 2009. "Deciding to peg the exchange rate in developing countries: the role of private-sector debt," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,34, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
- Philipp Harms & Matthias Hoffmann, 2009. "Deciding to Peg the Exchange Rate in Developing Countries:The Role of Private-Sector Debt," Working Papers 09.06, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
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