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La longévité : passé, présent et futur

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  • James W. Vaupel

Abstract

The rise of longevity since 1840 is remarkable. In France, life expectancy doubled from 40 in 1840 to 82 today. Analysis of the nature of this increase, including the improvements in survival at older ages, sheds new light on the economic, social and health transformations of the past two centuries. The future of longevity may be as remarkable as the past. Demographers, actuaries, gerontologists and other experts on mortality disagree widely about whether life expectancy is approaching a looming limit or will continue to increase at least as rapidly as in the past. Better methods of forecasting are needed to anticipate coming economic, social and health changes. Classification JEL: J11, J14.

Suggested Citation

  • James W. Vaupel, 2016. "La longévité : passé, présent et futur," Revue d'économie financière, Association d'économie financière, vol. 0(2), pages 41-56.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:refaef:ecofi_122_0041
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    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J14 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-Labor Market Discrimination

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