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L'avenir démographique des pays du Sud. Les certitudes et les interrogations

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  • Gilles Pison

Abstract

It is projected that the world population will increase by one-third before the end of this century, primarily in the South. Population projections are based on the demographic transition model which quite accurately explains the changes observed in Asia, Latin America ansd Africa over the last fifty years. Sub-Saharan Africa, the region where transition is least advanced, is also the region where future trends are most difficult to predict. Its population should triple or even quadruple over the coming century, despite the ravages of AIDS. One of the challenges facing the South will be to manage the effects of population ageing, which will occur much more quickly than in the North. Code JEL : J11

Suggested Citation

  • Gilles Pison, 2008. "L'avenir démographique des pays du Sud. Les certitudes et les interrogations," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 59(5), pages 869-891.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_595_0869
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    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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