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Runoff trends analysis and future projections of hydrological patterns in small forested catchments

Author

Listed:
  • Anna LAMAČOVÁ

    (Department of Environmental Geochemistry and Biogeochemistry, Czech Geological Survey, Prague, Czech Republic
    Institute for Environmental Studies, Faculty of Science, Charles University in Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
    Global Change Research Centre, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Brno, Czech Republic)

  • Jakub HRUŠKA

    (Department of Environmental Geochemistry and Biogeochemistry, Czech Geological Survey, Prague, Czech Republic
    Global Change Research Centre, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Brno, Czech Republic)

  • Pavel KRÁM

    (Department of Environmental Geochemistry and Biogeochemistry, Czech Geological Survey, Prague, Czech Republic
    Global Change Research Centre, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Brno, Czech Republic)

  • Evžen STUCHLÍK

    (Institute for Environmental Studies, Faculty of Science, Charles University in Prague, Prague, Czech Republic)

  • Aleš FARDA

    (Global Change Research Centre, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Brno, Czech Republic)

  • Tomáš CHUMAN

    (Department of Environmental Geochemistry and Biogeochemistry, Czech Geological Survey, Prague, Czech Republic
    Department of Physical Geography and Geoecology, Faculty of Science, Charles University in Prague, Prague, Czech Republic)

  • Daniela FOTTOVÁ

    (Department of Environmental Geochemistry and Biogeochemistry, Czech Geological Survey, Prague, Czech Republic
    Global Change Research Centre, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Brno, Czech Republic)

Abstract

The aims of the present study were (i) to evaluate trends in runoff from small forested catchments of the GEOMON (GEOchemical MONitoring) network during the period 1994-2011, and (ii) to estimate the impact of anticipated climate change projected by ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model coupled to ARPEGE-Climate global circulation model and forced with IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario on flow patterns in the periods 2021-2050 and 2071-2100. There were no general patterns found indicating either significant increases or decreases in runoff on either seasonal or annual levels across the investigated catchments within 1994-2011. Annual runoff is projected to decrease by 15% (2021-2050) and 35% (2071-2100) with a significant decrease in summer months and a slight increase in winter months as a result of expected climate change as simulated by the selected climate model.

Suggested Citation

  • Anna LAMAČOVÁ & Jakub HRUŠKA & Pavel KRÁM & Evžen STUCHLÍK & Aleš FARDA & Tomáš CHUMAN & Daniela FOTTOVÁ, 2014. "Runoff trends analysis and future projections of hydrological patterns in small forested catchments," Soil and Water Research, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 9(4), pages 169-181.
    • Handle: RePEc:caa:jnlswr:v:9:y:2014:i:4:id:110-2013-swr
    DOI: 10.17221/110/2013-SWR
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