Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Point Shaving in the NFL Gambling Market: A Bootstrap Investigation

Contents:

Author Info

  • George Diemer

Abstract

Recent research has examined a statistical phenomenon sometimes associated with point shaving in the NCAA Basketball gambling market. In a similar fashion, this study examines the NFL gambling market based on 3,641 games over the years 1993-2007. This research uses a new approach: a bootstrap hypothesis test of equality in the game outcome distributions for large favorites vs. small favorites. Probability density functions of large favorites vs. small favorites are constructed and compared. The results are consistent with studies that suggest point shaving exists, and they counter recent claims that the statistical phenomenon are of a more innocent nature. This research leads to the rejection of the null of no point shaving in the NFL point spread gambling market.

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/ubpl/jpm/2009/00000003/00000003/art00002
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Article provided by University of Buckingham Press in its journal Journal of Prediction Markets.

Volume (Year): 3 (2009)
Issue (Month): 3 (December)
Pages: 13-31

as in new window
Handle: RePEc:buc:jpredm:v:3:y:2009:i:3:p:13-31

Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.ubpl.co.uk/

Order Information:
Email:
Web: http://www.predictionmarketjournal.com/index_files/Page418.htm

Related research

Keywords:

References

No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.

Citations

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:buc:jpredm:v:3:y:2009:i:3:p:13-31. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Victor Matheson, College of the Holy Cross).

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.