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Analysis Of The Causes Of The Process Of China’S Gdp Growth Decline And Perspective Solutions. Part 2

Author

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  • Peter Ondris

    (Fakulta managementu, Univerzita Komenského v Bratislave)

Abstract

The goal of the second part of this study is the analysis of debt problems China is facing. It is based on the fact that economic stimulus in the form of investment into fixed assets are debt-financed. Specific emphasis is put on the analysis of home real estate debt market with purpose to evaluate the risk of banking sector crisis or of the burst of the bubble due to growing debt. The result is that the risk is in realty relatively low, because the vast majority of bad loans are corporate and not household debts, which were created between state banks and state enterprises. Therefore Chinese state controls big portion of debt, which has been used to finance economic stimulus programs. The study mentions solutions which Chinese government plans to use to guarantee sustainable economic growth (industrial strategy Made in China 2025) and to solve the demographic crisis (Concept Chinese Dream). The second part of the study ends with overall conclusion of the whole study, in which current economic stimulus programs and related risks are evaluated.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Ondris, 2019. "Analysis Of The Causes Of The Process Of China’S Gdp Growth Decline And Perspective Solutions. Part 2," Almanach (Actual Issues in World Economics and Politics), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 14(3), pages 70-82.
    • Handle: RePEc:brv:almnch:v:10:y:2019:i:3:p:70-82
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; China’s economy; Global economic crisis; the US-China trade war; Chinese economy reforms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • F69 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Other

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