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Covid-19 Mortality Shock: Demographic and Economic Losses in Moldova

Author

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  • Kozlov Vladimir

    (Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies (IOS), Regensburg, Germany)

  • Pahomii Irina
  • Gagauz Olga

    (National Institute for Economic Research, Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova, Chișinău, Moldova)

  • Šmit Jelena

    (Sector Accounts Unit, National Accounts, Prices and Agriculture Department, Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia)

Abstract

This contribution discusses the problem of Covid-19 demographic and economic losses in Moldova. Although the pandemic is now no longer in the headlines, it is essential to understand how severe it was in Southeastern Europe. To illustrate this, the present study uses the example of the Republic of Moldova as a country with relatively high excess mortality. The Covid-19 mortality pattern in Moldova appears typical for the Eastern European and post-Soviet countries, with a decline in life expectancy for 2020–2021 and a more substantial decline for women. One of the main explanations for this pattern is the failure of the vaccination campaign, partly due to the population’s lack of trust in the healthcare system. The National Transfer Accounts approach is suggested to estimate economic losses. As a reference country for comparing the pandemic losses in Moldova, the present study uses Serbia, which was also strongly affected by the pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Kozlov Vladimir & Pahomii Irina & Gagauz Olga & Šmit Jelena, 2024. "Covid-19 Mortality Shock: Demographic and Economic Losses in Moldova," Comparative Southeast European Studies, De Gruyter, vol. 72(1), pages 135-148, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:soeuro:v:72:y:2024:i:1:p:135-148:n:10
    DOI: 10.1515/soeu-2023-0063
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. William Msemburi & Ariel Karlinsky & Victoria Knutson & Serge Aleshin-Guendel & Somnath Chatterji & Jon Wakefield, 2023. "The WHO estimates of excess mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic," Nature, Nature, vol. 613(7942), pages 130-137, January.
    4. Paul Hanly & Michelle Ahern & Linda Sharp & Diana Ursul & Gerard Loughnane, 2022. "The cost of lost productivity due to premature mortality associated with COVID-19: a Pan-European study," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 23(2), pages 249-259, March.
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