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Impacto del crédito bancario en el crecimiento económico sectorial

Author

Listed:
  • Angélica Calle Sarmiento

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

Abstract

La presente investigación presenta el efecto del crédito bancario hacia el sector real de la economía boliviana (a nivel sectorial y agregado), considerando las relaciones no lineales entre el crédito e IGAE. Los resultados de largo plazo a nivel sectorial (modelo VEC) evidencian que la elasticidad de la cartera- crecimiento de los sectores de Agricultura e Industria son 0,05pp y 0,08pp, respectivamente. En el caso de Servicios, se muestra una fuerte relación con la actividad de Industria (1,04pp), lo cual explica la elevada elasticidad de la cartera de servicios respecto al desempeño económico de esta actividad. Asimismo, el efecto promedio de corto plazo estimado del modelo PVAR muestra que choques positivos (impulso-respuesta) en la cartera se internalizan en la actividad en un intervalo de 0,2pp y 0,86pp a lo largo del tiempo. De este modo, se muestra que el crédito es importante para promover el crecimiento económico.

Suggested Citation

  • Angélica Calle Sarmiento, 2022. "Impacto del crédito bancario en el crecimiento económico sectorial," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, vol. 36(1), pages 75-104, January -.
    • Handle: RePEc:blv:journl:v:36:y:2022:i:1:p:75-104
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crédito; crecimiento económico; modelo de corrección de errores; vectores autorregresivos recursivos en datos de panel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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