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Determinantes del crecimiento económico en Bolivia: un enfoque de demanda

Author

Listed:
  • Julio Humérez Quiroz

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

Abstract

La estimación de los determinantes del crecimiento económico es de interés tanto para los tomadores de decisiones como para los analistas. Para este cometido generalmente se estima una función de producción. Sin embargo, en países en desarrollo como Bolivia se enfrentan dificultades en la disponibilidad de información estadística sobre el acervo de capital y cifras sobre empleo. Por esta razón, en línea con la literatura internacional reciente, en este trabajo se optó por la estimación de una especificación econométrica ad hoc de demanda, mediante modelos de corrección de errores y vectores autorregresivos bayesianos (BVAR). El resultado del trabajo señala que la demanda interna es la fuente principal del crecimiento económico en Bolivia, entre cuyos componentes destaca el consumo privado, principalmente de alimentos.

Suggested Citation

  • Julio Humérez Quiroz, 2014. "Determinantes del crecimiento económico en Bolivia: un enfoque de demanda," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, vol. 20(1), pages 9-40, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:blv:journl:v:20:y:2014:i:1:p:9-40
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crecimiento económico; demanda interna; cointegración; VAR bayesiano;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C39 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Other
    • O49 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Other

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