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Desarrollo del sistema financiero y crecimiento económico.Una aproximación a partir del caso boliviano: 2000-2009

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Author Info

  • Julio Humeréz Quiroz

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

  • Ernesto Yáñez Aguilar

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

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    Abstract

    De acuerdo a la teoría económica y la literatura empírica, el sistema por su rol de intermediación financiera, cumple un importante papel en la promoción del crecimiento económico. Sin embargo, en el caso boliviano la evidencia empírica existente es limitada, por lo cual este trabajo tiene como propósito averiguar mediante la utilización de métodos estadísticos y modelos VAR la relación del desarrollo del sistema financiero con el crecimiento económico. Los resultados encontrados indican que el desarrollo del sistema financiero, aproximado por la razón M3/PIB y tasa de crecimiento del producto del sector financiero, inciden positivamente en la trayectoria temporal del crecimiento económico, aunque dicho efecto se considera modesto. La principal implicación de política es la necesidad de impulsar el desarrollo del sector financiero a fin de aumentar el aporte del sector en el crecimiento económico.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Banco Central de Bolivia in its journal Revista de Análisis.

    Volume (Year): 14 (2011)
    Issue (Month): 1 (June)
    Pages: 41-77

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    Handle: RePEc:blv:journl:v:14:y:2011:i:1:p:41-77

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    Keywords: sistema financiero; crecimiento económico; causalidad; VAR; FIR;

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