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The welfare effects of free trade agreements in quantitative trade models: A comparison of studies about Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership

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  • Eddy Bekkers
  • Hugo Rojas‐Romagosa

Abstract

We compare different methodological approaches to predicting the welfare effects of trade policy experiments. We focus on studies that estimate the economic effects of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). Methodologically, the studies can be divided into those employing computable general equilibrium (CGE) models and structural gravity (SG) models. We compare and critically discuss differences in the estimated trade cost reductions and in the economic models employed, and how these can explain the relatively wide range of economic effects found in the different TTIP studies. We conclude that reasonable estimates of the welfare effects for the TTIP partners are between 0.5% and 2%.

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  • Eddy Bekkers & Hugo Rojas‐Romagosa, 2019. "The welfare effects of free trade agreements in quantitative trade models: A comparison of studies about Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(1), pages 87-121, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:42:y:2019:i:1:p:87-121
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.12670
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    Cited by:

    1. Eddy Bekkers & Joseph Francois, 2018. "A Parsimonious Approach to Incorporate Firm Heterogeneity in CGE-Models," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 3(2), pages 1-68, December.
    2. Latorre, María C. & Olekseyuk, Zoryana & Yonezawa, Hidemichi & Robinson, Sherman, 2020. "Making sense of Brexit losses: An in-depth review of macroeconomic studies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 72-87.

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