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Incoming Industry and Structural Change: Oil and the Aberdeen Economy

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  • Harris, Anthony H, et al

Abstract

This paper quantifies the employment effects of the oil industry on the local economy of Aberdeen. It estimates not only the regional multiplier effects of the new industry, but also uses a form of shift-share analysis to estimate the supply-side effects on the labor and property markets. It is argued that in addition to creating jobs, the oil sector has also displaced existing jobs in non-oil industries and deterred new firms from entering the area. Quantification of the displacement and deterrence effects suggests that they are not large, but that they are significant in a number of individual industries. Coauthors are Michael G. Lloyd, Alastair J. McGuire, and David A. Newlands. Copyright 1987 by Scottish Economic Society.

Suggested Citation

  • Harris, Anthony H, et al, 1987. "Incoming Industry and Structural Change: Oil and the Aberdeen Economy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 34(1), pages 69-90, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:34:y:1987:i:1:p:69-90
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    Cited by:

    1. Selting, Anne C. & Loveridge, Scott, 1992. "A Summary Of The Literature On Shift-Share Analysis," Staff Papers 14086, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    2. White, Nancy, 2012. "A Tale of Two Shale Plays," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 42(2), pages 107-119, Summer.
    3. Dr Ronald W. McQuaid, 1997. "The Location of Civil Service Jobs in Scotland in relation to the Local Economic Impact of the Scottish Parliament," Working Paper p26, Departement of Economics, Napier University.
    4. Harvey W. Armstrong, 1993. "The Local Income and Employment Impact of Lancaster University," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 30(10), pages 1653-1668, December.
    5. Deborah Roberts & David Newlands, 2010. "The Economic Integration of New Sectors in Rural Areas: A Case Study of the Shetland Economy," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 42(11), pages 2687-2704, November.

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