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Does GNP Exaggerate Growth in "Actual" Output? The Case of the United States

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  • Fuess, Scott M, Jr
  • Van den Berg, Hendrik

Abstract

Measures of national product can be misleading because there is nonmarket production. There are also distortions due to transactional activities, which are expenditures to support transactions, not actual output consumed. For 1950-89, this study recalculates output for the United States, adjusting for transactional activities and nonmarket production. Due to relatively rapid growth in transactional activities, GNP overstates output growth in the 1950s; because there was slow expansion of transaction activities in the early 1970s, GNP understates actual output. Since 1974, increases in transactional activities and shifts to market production lead GNP to exaggerate improvement of 'actual' output per capita. Copyright 1996 by The International Association for Research in Income and Wealth.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by International Association for Research in Income and Wealth in its journal Review of Income & Wealth.

Volume (Year): 42 (1996)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 35-48

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Handle: RePEc:bla:revinw:v:42:y:1996:i:1:p:35-48

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Cited by:
  1. Bos, Frits, 2011. "Three centuries of macro-economic statistics," MPRA Paper 35391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Bos, Frits, 2009. "The National Accounts as a Tool for Analysis and Policy; History, Economic Theory and Data Compilation Issues," MPRA Paper 23582, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Rossitsa Rangelova, 2002. "Medium-Term Forecastings of the Economic Growth in Bulgaria," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 3-29.
  4. Rossitsa Rangelova, 2010. "GDP as a Measurer of the Economic Growth – Methodological Specifics and Trends," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 3-38.

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