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Instability of the Inflation–Output Trade-Off and Time-Varying Price Rigidity

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  • Antonia López-Villavicencio
  • Valérie Mignon

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="obes12102-abs-0001"> This paper studies the time instability of the Phillips curve by paying particular attention to the inflation environment and price stickiness. We identify various inflation episodes and investigate the changing nature of the curve across these periods for five advanced countries over 1960–2013. We show that the mean inflation, the slope of the curve and the threshold mean inflation that erodes price rigidity are time varying. The inflation environment is a key determinant of the inflation–output relationship, rejecting the evidence of a flat curve and restoring the inflation–output trade-off above certain inflation thresholds.

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  • Antonia López-Villavicencio & Valérie Mignon, 2015. "Instability of the Inflation–Output Trade-Off and Time-Varying Price Rigidity," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(5), pages 634-654, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:77:y:2015:i:5:p:634-654
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/obes.2015.77.issue-5
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    Cited by:

    1. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2023. "The Phillips curve at 65: Time for time and frequency," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    2. Byrne, David & Zekaite, Zivile, 2018. "Missing wage growth in the euro area: is the wage Philips curve non-linear?," Economic Letters 9/EL/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
    3. Sharif, Bushra & Qayyum, Abdul, 2018. "Estimating the Inflation-Output Gap Trade-Off with Triangle Model in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 91166, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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