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Unemployment Persistence in the West German Labour Market: Negative Duration Dependence or Sorting?

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Author Info
Steiner, Viktor
Abstract

The paper tests for negative duration dependence in West German unemployment in the presence of unobserved population heterogeneity. The analysis is based of a microeconometric model estimated on the German Socio-Economic Panel covering the period 1983 to 1995. I find that, after controlling for observed and unobserved population heterogeneity, individual re-employment probabilities are constant or even increase slightly with duration and, thus, reject the hypothesis that the high and increasing share of long-term unemployment in West Germany can be explained by structural negative duration dependence. Copyright 2001 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd

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Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Oxford in its journal Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics.

Volume (Year): 63 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 (February)
Pages: 91-113
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Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:63:y:2001:i:1:p:91-113

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  1. Getinet Astatike Haile, 2004. "Re-employment hazard of displaced German workers: evidence from the GSOEP," Working Papers 000284, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  2. Agne Lauzadyte, 2007. "A Statistical Programme Assignment Model," Economics Working Papers 2007-18, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
  3. Frank M. Fossen & Viktor Steiner, 2006. "Income Taxes and Entrepreneurial Choice : Empirical Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 582, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Hans J. Baumgartner & Viktor Steiner, 2004. "Enrolment into Higher Education and Changes in Repayment Obligations of Student Aid : Microeconometric Evidence for Germany," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 444, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Kalwij, Adriaan S., 2001. "Individuals' Unemployment Experiences: Heterogeneity and Business Cycle Effects," IZA Discussion Papers 370, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  6. Peter Haan & Viktor Steiner, 2006. "Making Work Pay for the Elderly Unemployed : Evaluating Alternative Policy Reforms for Germany," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 641, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  7. Joerg Lingens & Joerg Heining, 2006. "Social Interaction in Regional Labour Markets," ERSA conference papers ersa06p43, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  8. Hagen, Tobias, 2003. "Three Approaches to the Evaluation of Active Labour Market Policy in East Germany Using Regional Data," ZEW Discussion Papers 03-27, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  9. Arntz, Melanie & Wilke, Ralf A., 2006. "Unemployment duration in Germany : individual and regional determinants of local job finding, migration and subsidized employment," ZEW Discussion Papers 06-92, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  10. Hendrik Schmitz & Viktor Steiner, 2007. "Benefit-Entitlement Effects and the Duration of Unemployment: An Ex-Ante Evaluation of Recent Labour Market Reforms in Germany," IZA Discussion Papers 2681, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. Ch. LAUER, 2003. "Education and Unemployment : A French-German comparison," Working Papers ERMES 0314, ERMES, University Paris 2. [Downloadable!]
  12. Hagen, Tobias, 2003. "Do Fixed-Term Contracts Increase the Long-Term Employment Opportunities of the Unemployed?," ZEW Discussion Papers 03-49, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  13. Åslund, Olof & Rooth, Dan-Olof, 2003. "Do when and where matter? Initial labor market conditions and immigrant earnings," Working Paper Series 2003:7, IFAU - Institute for Labour Market Policy Evaluation. [Downloadable!]
  14. Weber, Andrea Maria, 2004. "Wann kehren junge Mütter auf den Arbeitsmarkt zurück? : Eine Verweildaueranalyse für Deutschland," ZEW Discussion Papers 04-08, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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