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Growth, investment share and the stability of the Sraffian Supermultiplier model in the U.S. economy (1985–2017)

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  • Guilherme Haluska
  • Julia Braga
  • Ricardo Summa

Abstract

In this paper, we empirically test the central hypothesis of the Sraffian Supermultiplier model (SSM)—that the growth of demand induces the share of capacity creating investment in output—for the U.S. economy from 1985 to 2017. Our results show that movements in the output growth rate cause the induced investment ratio, indicating that there is a tendency for utilization to converge slowly toward some exogenous normal level. And this together with other estimated parameters of the model suggest that the SSM adjustment mechanism has been dynamically stable for the U.S. data in the period under analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Guilherme Haluska & Julia Braga & Ricardo Summa, 2021. "Growth, investment share and the stability of the Sraffian Supermultiplier model in the U.S. economy (1985–2017)," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(2), pages 345-364, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:metroe:v:72:y:2021:i:2:p:345-364
    DOI: 10.1111/meca.12323
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    Cited by:

    1. Michalis Nikiforos & Marcio Santetti & Rudiger von Arnim, 2021. "The Sraffian Supermultiplier and Cycles: Theory and Empirics," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_993, Levy Economics Institute.
    2. Ryan Woodgate & Eckhard Hein & Ricardo Summa, 2023. "Components of autonomous demand growth and financial feedbacks: Implications for growth drivers and growth regime analysis," Working Papers PKWP2307, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    3. Nomaler, Önder & Spinola, Danilo & Verspagen, Bart, 2021. "R&D-based economic growth in a supermultiplier model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1-19.
    4. Ettore Gallo, 2022. "When is the long run?—Historical time and adjustment periods in demand‐led growth models," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(4), pages 1155-1178, November.
    5. Stephen Thompson, 2022. "“The total movement of this disorder is its order”: Investment and utilization dynamics in long‐run disequilibrium," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(2), pages 638-682, May.
    6. Barbieri Góes, Maria Cristina & Deleidi, Matteo, 2022. "Output determination and autonomous demand multipliers: An empirical investigation for the US economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    7. Di Bucchianico, Stefano, 2021. "Inequality, household debt, ageing and bubbles: A model of demand-side Secular Stagnation," IPE Working Papers 160/2021, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    8. Pedrosa, Ítalo & Brochier, Lídia & Freitas, Fabio, 2023. "Debt hierarchy: Autonomous demand composition, growth and indebtedness in a Supermultiplier model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    9. Marcio Santetti, Michalis Nikiforos, Rudiger von Arnim, 2022. "Growth, cycles, and residential investment," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2022_04, University of Utah, Department of Economics.

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