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Detente, Market-Oriented Reform and German Unification: Potential Consequences for the World Trade System

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  • van Bergeijk, Peter A G
  • Oldersma, Harry

Abstract

Based on a gravity model for forty-nine countries in the year 1985, this article reports simulation results concerning the potential consequences for the world trade system of East-West trade normalization. It appears that Eastern Europe stands to gain relatively the most. In the OECD-area, Western Europe will be able to improve on its comparative trading position, especially the member-countries of the EFTA. The developments in Europe appear to influence the trade flows of the other continents only marginally. Copyright 1990 by WWZ and Helbing & Lichtenhahn Verlag AG

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Wiley Blackwell in its journal Kyklos.

Volume (Year): 43 (1990)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
Pages: 599-609

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Handle: RePEc:bla:kyklos:v:43:y:1990:i:4:p:599-609

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0023-5962

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Cited by:
  1. Kangas, Kari & Niskanen, Anssi, 2003. "Trade in forest products between European Union and the Central and Eastern European access candidates," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 297-304, September.
  2. Martino Pelli & Jeanne Tschopp, 2013. "The Cleansing Effect of Hurricanes," Cahiers de recherche 13-04, Departement d'Economique de la Faculte d'administration à l'Universite de Sherbrooke.
  3. Misala, Józef, 1992. "Division of labour between Poland and member countries of the European Communities: Past experiences and prospects," Kiel Working Papers 536, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  4. Estrella Gómez Herrera, 2010. "Comparing alternative methods to estimate gravity models of bilateral trade," ThE Papers 10/05, Department of Economic Theory and Economic History of the University of Granada..
  5. Misala, Józef, 1992. "Importance and patterns of Poland's trade with Germany," Kiel Working Papers 537, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  6. Gert-Jan M. Linders & Henri L.F. de Groot, 2006. "Estimation of the Gravity Equation in the Presence of Zero Flows," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-072/3, Tinbergen Institute.
  7. repec:wii:bpaper:bowp:070 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. Gert-Jan M. Linders & Henri L.F. de Groot, 2006. "Estimation of the Gravity Equation in the Presence of Zero Flows," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-072/3, Tinbergen Institute.

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