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Integrating Transportation Network and Regional Economic Models to Estimate the Costs of a Large Urban Earthquake

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  • Sungbin Cho
  • Peter Gordon
  • James E. Moore II
  • Harry W. Richardson
  • Masanobu Shinozuka
  • Stephanie Chang
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    Abstract

    In this paper we summarize an integrated, operational model of losses due to earthquake impacts on transportation and industrial capacity, and how these losses affect the metropolitan economy. The procedure advances the information provided by transportation and activity system analysis techniques in ways that help capture the most important ecomonic implications of earthquakes. Network costs and origin-destination requirements are modeled endogenously and consistently. Indirect and induced losses associated with direct impacts on transportation and industrial capacity are distributed across zones and ecomonic sectors. Preliminary results are summarized for a magnitude 7.1 earthquake on the Elysian Park blind thrust fault in Los Angeles. Copyright 2001 BlackwellPublishers

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Wiley Blackwell in its journal Journal of Regional Science.

    Volume (Year): 41 (2001)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 39-65

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    Handle: RePEc:bla:jregsc:v:41:y:2001:i:1:p:39-65

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    Cited by:
    1. Genevieve Giuliano & Peter Gordon & Qisheng Pan & JiYoung Park & LanLan Wang, 2010. "Estimating Freight Flows for Metropolitan Area Highway Networks Using Secondary Data Sources," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 73-91, March.
    2. Ariel Belasen & Chifeng Dai, 2014. "When oceans attack: assessing the impact of hurricanes on localized taxable sales," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 325-342, March.
    3. Jacques JAUSSAUD & Julien MARTINE & Serge REY, 2012. "Japon : pistes pour l'analyse des conséquences économiques et managériales du grand tremblement de terre du 11 mars 2011," Working Papers 2011-2012_9, CATT - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour, revised Jun 2012.
    4. H. Lin & Y. Kuo & D. Shaw & M. Chang & T. Kao, 2012. "Regional economic impact analysis of earthquakes in northern Taiwan and its implications for disaster reduction policies," Natural Hazards, International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 61(2), pages 603-620, March.
    5. Jenelius, Erik & Mattsson, Lars-Göran, 2012. "Road network vulnerability analysis of area-covering disruptions: A grid-based approach with case study," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 746-760.
    6. Ichihara, Silvio Massaru & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Imori, Denise, 2009. "Combining geoprocessing and interregional input-output systems: An application to the State of São Paulo in Brazil," MPRA Paper 30696, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Ichihara, Silvio Massaru & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Imori, Denise, 2008. "Geoprocessing and estimation of interregional input-output systems an application to the state of Sao Paulo in Brazil," MPRA Paper 54036, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. B. Coluzzi & M. Ghil & S. Hallegatte & G. Weisbuch, 2010. "Boolean delay equations on networks: An application to economic damage propagation," Papers 1003.0793, arXiv.org.
    9. Henriet, F. & Hallegatte, S. & Tabourier, L., 2011. "Firm-Network Characteristics and Economic Robustness to Natural Disasters," Working papers 355, Banque de France.
    10. Stéphane Hallegatte & Fanny Henriet & Jan Corfee-Morlot, 2011. "The economics of climate change impacts and policy benefits at city scale: a conceptual framework," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 104(1), pages 51-87, January.
    11. Tuzun Aksu, Dilek & Ozdamar, Linet, 2014. "A mathematical model for post-disaster road restoration: Enabling accessibility and evacuation," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 56-67.
    12. Ham, Heejoo & Kim, Tschangho John & Boyce, David, 2005. "Assessment of economic impacts from unexpected events with an interregional commodity flow and multimodal transportation network model," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 849-860, December.
    13. Hallegatte, Stephane, 2012. "Modeling the roles of heterogeneity, substitution, and inventories in the assessment of natural disaster economic costs," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6047, The World Bank.
    14. Toshio Fujimi & Hirokazu Tatano, 2012. "Estimation of indirect economic loss caused by house destruction in a natural disaster," Natural Hazards, International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 61(3), pages 1367-1388, April.

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