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Inference for Non‐random Samples

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  • J. B. Copas
  • H. G. Li

Abstract

Observational data are often analysed as if they had resulted from a controlled study, and yet the tacit assumption of randomness can be crucial for the validity of inference. We take some simple statistical models and supplement them by adding a parameter θ which reflects the degree of non‐randomness in the sample. For a randomized study θ is known to be 0. We examine the profile log‐likelihood for θ and the sensitivity of inference to small non‐zero values of θ. Particular models cover the analysis of survey data with item non‐response, the paired comparison t‐test and two group comparisons using observational data with covariates. Some practical examples are discussed. Allowing for sampling bias increases the uncertainty of estimation and weakens the significance of treatment effects, sometimes substantially so.

Suggested Citation

  • J. B. Copas & H. G. Li, 1997. "Inference for Non‐random Samples," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(1), pages 55-95.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:59:y:1997:i:1:p:55-95
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9868.00055
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    Cited by:

    1. Irsova, Zuzana & Bom, Pedro R. D. & Havranek, Tomas & Rachinger, Heiko, 2023. "Spurious Precision in Meta-Analysis," EconStor Preprints 268683, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    2. Mengke Li & Yukun Liu & Pengfei Li & Jing Qin, 2022. "Empirical likelihood meta-analysis with publication bias correction under Copas-like selection model," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 74(1), pages 93-112, February.
    3. Byeong Yeob Choi & Jason P. Fine & Roman Fernandez & M. Alan Brookhart, 2022. "Alternative sensitivity analyses for regression estimates of treatment effects to unobserved confounding in binary and survival data," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 31(3), pages 637-659, September.
    4. van Aert, Robbie Cornelis Maria & van Assen, Marcel A. L. M., 2018. "P-uniform," MetaArXiv zqjr9, Center for Open Science.
    5. Hirschauer, Norbert & Grüner, Sven & Mußhoff, Oliver & Becker, Claudia & Jantsch, Antje, 2020. "Can p-values be meaningfully interpreted without random sampling?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 14, pages 71-91.
    6. Richard Valliant & Jill A. Dever, 2011. "Estimating Propensity Adjustments for Volunteer Web Surveys," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 40(1), pages 105-137, February.
    7. Atanu B & Gajendra V & Jesna J & Ramesh V, 2017. "Multiple Imputations for Determining an Optimum Biological Dose of a Metronomic Chemotherapy," Biostatistics and Biometrics Open Access Journal, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 3(5), pages 129-140, October.
    8. van Aert, Robbie Cornelis Maria, 2018. "Dissertation R.C.M. van Aert," MetaArXiv eqhjd, Center for Open Science.
    9. Stratton Leslie S. & Datta Gupta Nabanita & Reimer David & Holm Anders, 2018. "Modeling Completion of Vocational Education: The Role of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills by Program Type," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 18(4), pages 1-17, October.
    10. Soojin Park & Gregory J. Palardy, 2020. "Sensitivity Evaluation of Methods for Estimating Complier Average Causal Mediation Effects to Assumptions," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 45(4), pages 475-506, August.
    11. Tenglong Li & Kenneth A. Frank, 2019. "On the probability of a causal inference is robust for internal validity," Papers 1906.08726, arXiv.org.
    12. Emmanuel O. Ogundimu, 2022. "Regularization and variable selection in Heckman selection model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(2), pages 421-439, April.
    13. Mengke Li & Yan Fan & Yang Liu & Yukun Liu, 2021. "Diagnostic test meta-analysis by empirical likelihood under a Copas-like selection model," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 84(6), pages 927-947, August.
    14. Tenglong Li & Kenneth A. Frank & Mingming Chen, 2024. "A Conceptual Framework for Quantifying the Robustness of a Regression-Based Causal Inference in Observational Study," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-14, January.

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