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Profit Margins and the Business Cycle: Evidence from UK Manufacturing Firms

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Author Info
Machin, Stephen
Van Reenen, John

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Abstract

This paper presents some empirical models of profitability using panel data covering 709 large U.K. companies ove r the 1970s and 1980s, focusing specifically on the role of aggregate demand shocks in shaping firm-level profitability. In basic regressi ons and in quite complex econometric models, the results suggest that firm-level profit margins fell heavily during the deep manufacturing recession of the early 1980s and, as such, are consistent with model s predicting the procyclical nature of profit margins. This result hol ds across different product groups (producer goods, consumer durables a nd nondurables), though the timing of the impact of aggregate shocks appears to differ. Copyright 1993 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Industrial Economics.

Volume (Year): 41 (1993)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 29-50
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jindec:v:41:y:1993:i:1:p:29-50

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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0022-1821

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  1. Ghosal, Vivek, 2007. "Small is Beautiful but Size Matters: The Asymmetric Impact of Uncertainty and Sunk Costs on Small and Large Businesses," MPRA Paper 5461, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Mariko Sakakibara & Hideki Yamawaki, 2008. "What determines the profitability of foreign direct investment? A subsidiary-level analysis of Japanese multinationals," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2-3), pages 277-292. [Downloadable!]
  3. Warren, Paul, 2005. "Rentabilité des entreprises sous contrôle canadien par rapport aux entreprises sous contrôle américain," Série de documents de recherche sur l'analyse économique (AE) 2005030f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques. [Downloadable!]
  4. Mirko Draca & Stephen Machin & John Van Reenen, 2006. "Minimum Wages and Firm Profitability," CEP Discussion Papers dp0715, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Natalia Isachenkova & John Hunter, 2002. "A Panel Analysis Of UK Industrial Company Failure," ESRC Centre for Business Research - Working Papers wp228, ESRC Centre for Business Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Ian Small, . "The cyclicality of Mark-ups and Profit Margins: Some Evidence for Manufacturing and Services," Bank of England working papers 72, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  7. Alberto Jaramillo & Adriana Ángel Jiménez & Andrea Restrepo Ramírez & Ana Consuelo Serrano, 2002. "Sector bancario y coyuntura económica. El caso colombiano 1990-2000," Grupo de estudios en economía y empresa 003921, EAFIT-GRUPO DE ESTUDIOS EN ECONOMIA Y EMPRESA (GEE). [Downloadable!]
  8. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Chris Higson & Sean Holly & Paul Kattuman, 2007. " Macroeconomic Conditions and Business Exit: Determinants of Failures and Acquisitions of UK Firms," CDMA Working Paper Series 0713, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  9. Vivek Ghosal, 2003. "Impact of Uncertainty and Sunk Costs on Firm Survival and Industry Dynamics," CIG Working Papers SP II 2003-12, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin (WZB), Research Unit: Competition and Innovation (CIG). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Esperanza Gracia, 1999. "Márgenes y cuotas de mercado. Un análisis con un micropanel," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 23(3), pages 393-428, September. [Downloadable!]
  11. Higson, C. & Holly, S. & Kattuman, P. & S. Platis, 2001. "The Business Cycle, Macroeconomic Shocks and the Cross Section: The Growth of UK Quoted Companies," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0114, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  12. Alberto Jaramillo & Hermilson Velásquez & Javier Santiago Ortiz & Natalia Serna, 2003. "Aspectos teóricos y empíricos de la relación empresas bancos," Grupo de estudios en economía y empresa 003922, EAFIT-GRUPO DE ESTUDIOS EN ECONOMIA Y EMPRESA (GEE). [Downloadable!]
  13. Sophocles N. Brissimis & Theodora S. Kosma, 2006. "Market Conduct, Price Interdependence and Exchange Rate Pass-Through," Working Papers 51, Bank of Greece. [Downloadable!]
  14. James McDonald & Harry Bloch, 1999. "The Spillover Effects of Industrial Action on Firm Profitability," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 183-200, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Yosuke Okada, 2005. "Competition and Productivity in Japanese Manufacturing Industries," NBER Working Papers 11540, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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