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Rational IPO Waves

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Author Info
LUBOS PÁSTOR
PIETRO VERONESI

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Abstract

We argue that the number of firms going public changes over time in response to time variation in market conditions. We develop a model of optimal initial public offering (IPO) timing in which IPO waves are caused by declines in expected market return, increases in expected aggregate profitability, or increases in prior uncertainty about the average future profitability of IPOs. We test and find support for the model's empirical predictions. For example, we find that IPO waves tend to be preceded by high market returns and followed by low market returns. Copyright 2005 by The American Finance Association.

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00778.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 60 (2005)
Issue (Month): 4 (08)
Pages: 1713-1757
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:60:y:2005:i:4:p:1713-1757

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  1. Thomas Philippon & Yuliy Sannikov, 2007. "Real Options in a Dynamic Agency Model, with Applications to Financial Development, IPOs, and Business Risk," NBER Working Papers 13584, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Xavier Gabaix, 2007. "Linearity-Generating Processes: A Modelling Tool Yielding Closed Forms for Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 13430, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Jessica A. Wachter, 2005. "Solving Models with External Habit," NBER Working Papers 11559, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Richard J. Rosen & Scott B. Smart & Chad J. Zutter, 2005. "Why do firms go public? evidence from the banking industry," Working Paper Series WP-05-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. [Downloadable!]
  5. Pástor, Luboš & Taylor, Lucian & Veronesi, Pietro, 2007. "Entrepreneurial Learning, the IPO Decision, and the Post-IPO Drop in Firm Profitability," CEPR Discussion Papers 6061, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Johann Burgstaller, 2009. "When and why do Austrian companies issue shares?," Empirica, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 229-244, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Erica X. N. Li & Dmitry Livdan & Lu Zhang, 2006. "Optimal Market Timing," NBER Working Papers 12014, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Boyan Jovanovic, 2004. "The Pre-Producers," NBER Working Papers 10771, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Silvia Rossetto, 2008. "The price of rapid exit in venture capital-backed IPOs," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 29-53, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Boyan Jovanovic, 2007. "Investment Options and the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 13307, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Qiao, Yongyuan, 2008. "Analysis into IPO underpricing and clustering in Hong Kong equity market," MPRA Paper 7876, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  12. Pasquale Scaramozzino & Jonathan Temple & Nir Vulkan, 2005. "Implementation Cycles in the New Economy," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 05/569, Department of Economics, University of Bristol, UK. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Jean Helwege & Christo Pirinsky & René M. Stulz, 2005. "Why Do Firms Become Widely Held? An Analysis of the ynamics of Corporate Ownership," NBER Working Papers 11505, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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