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Excessive Extrapolation and the Allocation of 401(k) Accounts to Company Stock

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Author Info
Shlomo Benartzi
Abstract

About a third of the assets in large retirement savings plans are invested in company stock, and about a quarter of the "discretionary" contributions are invested in company stock. From a diversification perspective, this is a dubious strategy. This paper explores the role of excessive extrapolation in employees' company stock holdings. I find that employees of firms that experienced the worst stock performance over the last 10 years allocate 10.37 percent of their "discretionary" contributions to company stock, whereas employees whose firms experienced the best stock performance allocate 39.70 percent. Allocations to company stock, however, do not predict future performance. Copyright The American Finance Association 2001.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 56 (2001)
Issue (Month): 5 (October)
Pages: 1747-1764
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:56:y:2001:i:5:p:1747-1764

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